Is the market being irrational right now?

It depends on who you ask.

Ask Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) and the answer is a firm yes.

He posted this week complaining about irrational selling.

X post about irrational selling

I read it twice. (Once to check I hadn't misread it. Once out of professional curiosity.)

But...

There's nothing irrational about it.

That's simply what the market does.

Short-term price runs on market mechanics… funds rebalancing, leveraged positions getting cut and stops going off together.

The business case doesn’t matter over a few days or weeks, but certainly does over the long run - the problem is, most mess it up in the short run which prevents the long run from being able to work out.

To be clear, I'm not having a go at him.

The problem is he has no system.

And when you have no system, every red candle feels personal. The market looks irrational because you've got nothing to measure it against.

That's how it works.

Now look, the same week played out very differently inside FINK OS.

Same market. Same selling.

One member wrote this:

"Not something I would have done pre fink. FOMO would definitely have got the better of me"

Another put it even more bluntly:

"100% I'd have been all over the shop trying to short, going long, buy at the 200, etc."

X post: structure and clarity over false hope of riches

Read that second one again...

Short, long, then a punt at the 200. Three trades pointing in three different directions, all driven by whatever feeling was meeting the random short term gyrations of the market at that moment.

Instead, they followed the process. They made the decisions before the week started, so the week didn't get to make them.

Which brings me to a slightly odd promise for a sales email.

We don't promise you'll make loads of money.

We promise you won't act like a total muppet.

Structure and clarity beat false hope of riches.

Because think about what the alternative actually costs you.

You sell half to feel better. It bounces. You buy it back higher.

Then it feels like the top, so you go short...

Then a winner you were up 50% on gives the lot back, because you had an exit feeling and no exit rule.

You're then scrolling X looking for someone to confirm it was irrational. (Serenity has you covered there.)

That's a fresh emotional negotiation every single session. And you're losing it.

This is exactly what FINK OS is built for.

It's a systematic process with five layers: Filter, Enter, Size, Manage and Exit. Each one turns judgment into a rule, so you know what you'll do before the market does anything.

Same rules every time, whatever the market is doing.

Here's what the bundle includes:

  • The full FINK Academy course, with lifetime access

  • The first quarter of FINK Community: daily insights, weekly videos and direct access to Tim and me

It's £2,065 today. Community then renews at £250 a quarter and you can cancel anytime.

And £2,065 might sound ‘expensive’, but if you have a decent sized portfolio, what’s getting chopped up and round tripping costing you each year? Probably more than that.

And listen, the change you'll feel first is the quiet of that niggling weirdo in your head telling you to do something because it feels right.

He or she will be gone, I can promise you that.

Next time there's a decision to be made, you’ll be acting from a place of control, not emotional instability.

So if you want a rule and understanding for every situation, without the morning knot in your stomach or another winner round-tripped back to nothing...

David

P.S. Not ready yet? Take the Process Score quiz first. It scores your process out of 100 and shows you where it breaks. Take the quiz here.

Educational only, not financial advice. Capital is at risk.